1. Business model predicated by major new car installs. With the car market in complete shambles, numbers are going to slow right down.
2. Stupid deals like Howard Stern's $500MM deal. Works out with Sterns fees and production expenses to be $100MM a year. First of all, no one is worth that much, secondly, who, as a CEO writes a talent deal that takes $100MM off the top, for one piece of talent???
3. Lack of expansion... mobile versions of XM and Sirius don't really work because of the need for Satellite reception...(if you're sitting under a tree they don't work... walking around NY with those high buildings etc). People do not need satellite in their homes because we all have out favorite music on iPods... which I now run through my TV speakers... so no need for Sirius there. Unless you're a farmer, sitting in the middle of a field with no trees nearby... it's a tough one, (and Sirius doesn't have a sheep channel).
4. Debt; which is what the bail out is all about. But the company will still have the new debt to Liberty, at 15% interest!!!
I do still love satellite radio, but someone needs to go in an look at the overhead construction and basic business model.
Thoughts????
I couldn't help but notice last week that XM/Siruis closed at $0.5/share and little old Carbon Sciences (CABN) in Santa Barbara closed at $0.18/share. Could it be that finding a way to produce renewable and sustainable liquid fuels that fin in the existing infrastructure is three times more important than satellite radio?
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